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Benefit of the Doubt Draft Rankings

Jun 25, 2015; Brooklyn, NY, USA; Kristaps Porzingis (SPN) reacts after being selected as the number four overall pick to the Miami Heat in the first round of the 2015 NBA Draft at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The theory behind the models is that draft order will reflect information not captured by playing statistics, demographic information or competition levels available to teams such as work ethic, basketball IQ, shooting form or defensive potential. The idea differs from draft grades in drawing inferences from the results because there is an implied assumption of baseline competency by the organization given that the model applies the average adjustment for the draft order curve. Continue Reading

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The Rookie Scale and Draft Night’s (Financial) Winners & Losers

Mar 26, 2015; Cleveland, OH, USA; Kentucky Wildcats forward Karl-Anthony Towns (12) shoots while guarded by West Virginia Mountaineers forward Devin Williams (5) during the first half in the semifinals of the midwest regional of the 2015 NCAA Tournament at Quicken Loans Arena. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

It’s only human during and long after each draft to wonder where a player “should” have been selected. Take the 2013 NBA Draft, when David Stern1 announced the selection of Anthony Bennett with the first overall pick. The suspense of… Continue Reading