The Western Conference playoffs have become defined by lineup matchups. In knocking off the San Antonio Spurs last round, the Oklahoma City Thunder found success pushing towards the bigger end of the lineup spectrum, often playing Enes Kanter and Steven… Continue Reading
A few months ago I presented early draft model projections that represented a first pass at predicting the success of future NBA draft prospects. That set of projections were made prior to the 2016 draft combine, and therefore used estimated draft combine results for… Continue Reading
With a pair of 20-plus point losses to the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Golden State Warriors have reached the statistical low-point of their season. Continue Reading
There are good prospects in this draft after Simmons and Ingram, however, there isn’t clear separation in that next or an obvious next star. And there are also, in my view a couple of potential landmine candidates.
This puts Celtic’s GM Danny Ainge in a bit of a tight spot, the third pick is going to have high expectations by the fan base and media, but leaves him with a significant possibility of missing on the pick only to watch a player taken afterwards excel.
To look a little further at the choices at the three spot, or after, I made a few charts based on the top prospects in both the Draft Express website and my workhorse PAWS model, then one that combines information from both the analytic model and scouting ratings. Continue Reading
A detailed look at All-NBA Team voting from year’s past and projections for this season’s results. Continue Reading
Quantifying the size advantage the Oklahoma City Thunder have over the Golden State Warriors. Continue Reading
There were a number of factors that led to the Thunder’s surprising Game 1 road victory over the Warriors on Monday night, not the least of which was head coach Billy Donovan’s decision to stick with playing two traditional bigs… Continue Reading
Now that the season is over, I can estimate the net amount of error from having inaccurate playing time estimates by running the preseason player efficiency projection through the actual minutes played by every player on the roster in what is known as a retrodiction, an exercise I did last year as well. In addition to providing a measure of the error introduced simply by missing on the minutes projections, the exercise also gives an estimate of which teams added the most talent weighted by playing time or lost the most expected production Continue Reading
There has been some hot shooting in this year’s playoffs. The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the record for most 3PM in a game and have shot 46.2% from 3 as a team, which is ridiculous. In Miami, Luol Deng and Dwyane… Continue Reading
Cleveland Cavaliers are well on their way to breaking the record for most three-pointers made in a single playoffs. Continue Reading